Cup Belgium Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Excelsior Mouscron vs Sint-Truidense VV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 0
LOM
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
5 - 2
GNK
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
6 - 1
EEA
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
SDL
1 - 3
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
STR
2 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
LOM
0 - 1
STR
52%
23%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
LIE
0 - 2
STR
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
STR
0 - 1
GEN
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |