Excelsior Mouscron vs RAA Louvieroise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CER
1 - 1
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
GNK
38%
23%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 2
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
CER
0 - 0
EXC
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
RAA Louvieroise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
RAA
0 - 0
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
RAA
0 - 4
BRU
18%
23%
60%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 2
RAA
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BER
1 - 3
RAA
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
RAA
2 - 1
BRU
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |