Europa League 1/32
Global 1-6
Excelsior Mouscron vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 1
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
LOK
2 - 1
EXC
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
EXC
3 - 0
APO
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 0
CHA
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 1
GEN
72%
17%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
MET
2 - 0
CAN
60%
23%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
REN
2 - 2
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1997 |
MON
1 - 2
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1997 |
MET
2 - 1
PSG
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 2
MET
26%
29%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |