Excelsior Mouscron vs KFC Lommel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LIE
1 - 0
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
KSK
86%
11%
4%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
RAA
2 - 3
EXC
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
KFC
1 - 4
EXC
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 1
EXC
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Lommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LOM
1 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
SDL
4 - 1
LOM
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
LOM
2 - 1
MOL
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
LOM
0 - 1
GNK
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
GEN
6 - 2
LOM
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |