Excelsior Mouscron vs KFC Lommel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
EXC
3 - 2
EEA
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
KVM
0 - 2
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
EXC
3 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
1 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
EXC
1 - 0
BRU
29%
24%
48%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
KFC Lommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
LOM
1 - 0
LOK
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
EEA
1 - 1
LOM
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
LOM
1 - 0
KVM
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
CHA
1 - 3
LOM
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
LOM
3 - 2
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |