Excelsior Mouscron vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
KVM
2 - 2
EXC
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
AND
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
KVC
0 - 2
EXC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
STR
0 - 2
EXC
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BRU
1 - 1
LOK
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LOK
3 - 1
KVM
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
LOK
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LOK
0 - 0
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
AND
1 - 0
LOK
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |