Excelsior Mouscron vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
BRU
2 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 0
RWD
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MON
0 - 2
EXC
37%
26%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CER
1 - 0
EXC
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
BRU
21%
23%
57%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
LOK
1 - 1
GNK
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
YOB
2 - 1
LOK
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
LOK
1 - 4
YOB
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
LOK
0 - 1
TRA
57%
22%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
TRA
0 - 2
LOK
44%
24%
33%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |