Excelsior Mouscron vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
STR
3 - 2
EXC
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
GNK
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
GEN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
AND
2 - 0
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
RWD
2 - 1
EXC
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
LOK
2 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
LOK
1 - 3
GNK
34%
25%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
RWD
1 - 2
LOK
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
LOK
2 - 1
STR
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
LOK
4 - 0
CER
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |