Excelsior Mouscron vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 0
DEN
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
2 - 2
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 0
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BRU
4 - 2
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 1
BER
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
BER
2 - 1
LOK
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
LOK
1 - 1
GEN
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LOK
0 - 1
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ANT
0 - 3
LOK
35%
25%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
LOK
0 - 2
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |