Excelsior Mouscron vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
LIE
64%
19%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
BRU
5 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
SLP
5 - 1
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 2
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2002 |
AND
6 - 3
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
LOK
2 - 1
ANT
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 3
LOK
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
LOK
3 - 3
SDL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
KVM
2 - 3
LOK
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
LOK
4 - 0
KVC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |