Excelsior Mouscron vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
STR
0 - 0
EXC
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 2
BRU
34%
25%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
LOM
0 - 4
EXC
18%
24%
59%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
EXC
3 - 3
LIE
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
KSK
1 - 1
EXC
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
LOK
1 - 1
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
SDL
1 - 2
LOK
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
LOK
1 - 2
GNK
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
GEN
1 - 1
LOK
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
LOK
0 - 0
KVC
72%
16%
11%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |