Excelsior Mouscron vs KVC Westerlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 2
DEN
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
KVM
2 - 2
EXC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
TUB
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 1
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KVC Westerlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
KVC
1 - 0
LOK
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
2 - 1
KVC
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
KVC
0 - 1
SDL
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 2
KVC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
KVK
3 - 1
KVC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |