Excelsior Mouscron vs KSV Roeselare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
AND
2 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
GNK
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
KVC
0 - 0
EXC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
4 - 2
GEN
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Roeselare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
KSV
0 - 1
BRU
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
KSV
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
KSV
0 - 1
LOK
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
3 - 0
KSV
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
KSV
1 - 1
SDL
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |