Excelsior Mouscron vs KSK Beveren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LOK
1 - 1
EXC
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
4 - 0
STR
67%
19%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GNK
0 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 0
AND
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
LOK
1 - 1
EXC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
KSK Beveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
STR
0 - 1
KSK
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
FCV
1 - 2
KSK
39%
24%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
KSK
0 - 1
AND
23%
25%
51%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MON
2 - 2
KSK
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
KSK
3 - 1
FCV
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |