Excelsior Mouscron vs KSK Beveren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
BRU
1 - 0
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
STR
1 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
RAA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CER
1 - 1
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KSK Beveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
AND
1 - 1
KSK
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
KSK
0 - 0
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 1
KSK
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
KSK
1 - 3
BRU
20%
22%
57%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BER
1 - 4
KSK
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |