Excelsior Mouscron vs ASV Geel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 1
CHA
82%
13%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2000 |
SDL
2 - 0
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2000 |
EXC
5 - 0
GNK
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GEN
2 - 3
EXC
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 1
KVC
73%
16%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Geel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
KFC
1 - 2
EEA
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
CHA
1 - 3
KFC
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
KFC
0 - 2
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SDL
3 - 0
KFC
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
KFC
3 - 0
LOK
16%
20%
64%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |