Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CER
2 - 1
EXC
40%
27%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
GNK
1 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
SDL
2 - 0
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 2
LIE
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ZUL
0 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 0
BRU
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
KSV
2 - 3
GEN
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 0
KVC
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
0 - 3
GEN
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 1
STR
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |