Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
AND
3 - 1
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 0
KVC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 0
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 2
LOK
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
BRU
2 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
GEN
2 - 0
GNK
27%
25%
49%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
2 - 1
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
CER
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
RAA
1 - 1
GEN
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 3
ZUL
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |