Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
AND
2 - 0
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
RWD
2 - 1
EXC
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
EXC
5 - 1
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
EXC
6 - 0
CER
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
BRU
3 - 0
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
0 - 0
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
KVC
2 - 1
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
SDL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
RAA
0 - 1
GEN
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
GEN
3 - 1
LOK
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |