Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
RAA
3 - 1
EXC
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 0
KSK
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LOK
1 - 1
EXC
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
4 - 0
STR
67%
19%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GNK
0 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
KSK
1 - 2
GEN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 1
STR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
AND
2 - 0
GEN
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 1
MON
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
BRU
5 - 0
GEN
72%
17%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |