Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
RAA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CER
1 - 1
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
GNK
38%
23%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 2
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 0
GEN
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
GEN
0 - 1
BRU
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
BER
1 - 1
GEN
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
GEN
0 - 2
KVC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |