Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
FYL
1 - 1
EXC
34%
26%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
SDL
0 - 3
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 3
BRU
21%
22%
57%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
BRU
2 - 0
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 0
LIE
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
GEN
0 - 0
ANT
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
MAL
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
MAL
3 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
STP
3 - 1
GEN
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 0
STP
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |