Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
EEA
1 - 0
EXC
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
RAA
1 - 3
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 1
SDL
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
LOK
2 - 1
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
HAR
0 - 1
EXC
30%
24%
45%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
GEN
4 - 2
STR
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
PSG
7 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
GEN
0 - 0
PSG
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
GEN
0 - 1
BRE
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 3
GEN
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |