Excelsior Mouscron vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
ANT
1 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 1
CER
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1997 |
AND
1 - 1
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
LOK
0 - 2
EXC
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
EXC
3 - 0
LOM
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
GEN
2 - 1
LOM
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
EEA
1 - 0
GEN
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
GEN
2 - 2
KVM
18%
24%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 0
GEN
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
GEN
2 - 0
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |