Excelsior Mouscron vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
KVC
0 - 0
EXC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
4 - 2
GEN
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 1
KVM
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TUB
1 - 2
EXC
35%
27%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GNK
0 - 1
BRU
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ZUL
1 - 3
GNK
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GNK
1 - 0
LOK
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
MON
3 - 1
GNK
29%
25%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GNK
1 - 1
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |