Excelsior Mouscron vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 3
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BRU
1 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
LOK
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
KVM
2 - 2
EXC
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
AND
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
GNK
2 - 1
KVM
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
GNK
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
GNK
1 - 1
AND
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
STR
1 - 2
GNK
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GNK
1 - 0
KVC
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |