Excelsior Mouscron vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
CHA
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
1 - 0
EXC
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
6 - 0
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
RAA
0 - 0
EXC
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZUL
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
SDL
1 - 0
GNK
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
GNK
1 - 0
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CER
1 - 1
GNK
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GNK
1 - 0
RAA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
ZUL
1 - 0
GNK
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |