Excelsior Mouscron vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 2
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
CER
0 - 0
EXC
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SDL
3 - 3
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 0
LOK
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
GNK
1 - 1
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
CHA
4 - 3
GNK
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
GNK
1 - 0
BRU
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
GNK
4 - 1
BER
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
KVC
1 - 1
GNK
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |