Excelsior Mouscron vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GEN
2 - 3
EXC
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
EXC
2 - 1
KVC
73%
16%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
KVM
1 - 3
EXC
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
EXC
4 - 2
HAR
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2000 |
EXC
0 - 2
AND
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GNK
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2000 |
SDL
5 - 1
GNK
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
GNK
1 - 0
KFC
89%
8%
3%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
GNK
0 - 1
GEN
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
GNK
1 - 1
KVC
80%
12%
7%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |