Excelsior Mouscron vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
STR
2 - 0
EXC
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
EXC
2 - 2
LIE
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
HAR
2 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
EXC
3 - 0
GEN
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
ANT
1 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
GNK
0 - 1
LOM
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
EEA
1 - 3
GNK
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
GNK
0 - 1
KVM
16%
23%
62%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 0
GNK
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
GNK
3 - 1
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |