Excelsior Mouscron vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
KVM
1 - 5
EXC
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 2
BRU
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
EXC
3 - 0
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 1
EEA
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
0 - 1
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
EEA
1 - 4
GEN
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
GNK
3 - 1
EEA
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
EEA
1 - 3
LIE
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 1
EEA
75%
16%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
EEA
0 - 3
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |