Excelsior Mouscron vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
KSK
1 - 4
EXC
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
EXC
3 - 2
CHA
60%
21%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
KVK
2 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
EXC
3 - 5
GNK
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1998 |
GEN
3 - 0
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
EEA
3 - 3
LOK
46%
23%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
KSK
0 - 2
EEA
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
EEA
2 - 2
HAR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
CHA
0 - 1
EEA
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
EEA
0 - 0
AND
25%
24%
52%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |