Excelsior Mouscron vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
KVM
0 - 2
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
EXC
3 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
1 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
EXC
1 - 0
BRU
29%
24%
48%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
MOL
2 - 0
EXC
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
EEA
1 - 1
LOM
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
LOK
2 - 2
EEA
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
KVM
1 - 0
EEA
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
EEA
2 - 2
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
6 - 1
EEA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |