Excelsior Meerzorg vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
RHO
2 - 1
EXC
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 4
BOT
50%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TAK
2 - 2
EXC
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
WBC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 1
TAK
45%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 3
NIS
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
TRA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 1
BOT
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
TRA
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |