Excelsior Meerzorg vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KAM
1 - 3
EXC
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 4
INT
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VIC
7 - 0
EXC
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
WBC
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
INT
2 - 1
EXC
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 2
WBC
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 2
KAM
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
INT
1 - 1
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VIC
3 - 1
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
TRA
5 - 0
EXC
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |