Excelsior Meerzorg vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
BOS
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
VOO
0 - 2
EXC
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 1
TBR
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 2
EXC
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
4 - 2
EXC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
WBC
2 - 1
TRA
59%
20%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 4
VIC
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 4
TRA
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
3 - 1
RHO
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
4 - 2
EXC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |