Excelsior Meerzorg vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
WBC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
WBC
5 - 0
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
VIC
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
EXC
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
EXC
42%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 2
INT
45%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NOT
4 - 3
VIC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 3
NOT
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SNL
1 - 5
NOT
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 2
WBC
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |