Excelsior Meerzorg vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 5
EXC
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WBC
2 - 4
EXC
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 6
RHO
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
BOS
53%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
KAM
2 - 3
EXC
44%
23%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
KAM
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VOO
1 - 2
NOT
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RHO
4 - 1
NOT
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
WBC
2 - 1
NOT
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 1
NOT
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |