Excelsior Meerzorg vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 2
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
RHO
2 - 1
EXC
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 4
BOT
50%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TAK
2 - 2
EXC
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
RHO
2 - 2
NIS
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NIS
0 - 1
VIC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 3
NIS
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NIS
2 - 2
BOT
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WBC
4 - 3
NIS
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |