Excelsior Meerzorg vs Leo Victor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 0
TAK
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
WBC
3 - 2
EXC
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
SUP
0 - 4
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 5
BOS
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TRA
3 - 3
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leo Victor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
VIC
3 - 2
SUP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
VIC
6 - 1
RHO
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
WBC
4 - 4
VIC
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
INT
1 - 3
VIC
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TAK
1 - 7
VIC
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |