Excelsior Mariaburg vs Herent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
74.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mariaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 1
EMA
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Herent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
JEU
2 - 1
HER
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
HER
4 - 0
SVE
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
HER
6 - 1
KFC
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
HUL
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
HER
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |