Excelsior Maassluis vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NIE
2 - 1
EXC
19%
22%
60%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 2
ACH
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HOE
2 - 2
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
4 - 0
LRC
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HEE
1 - 2
EXC
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ZWA
0 - 4
ASW
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
KOZ
3 - 1
ZWA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NIE
2 - 2
ZWA
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ZWA
1 - 1
HOE
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ZWA
3 - 4
ACH
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |