Excelsior Maassluis vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 2
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 2
IJS
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 0
TIE
50%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
DET
55%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
USV
4 - 1
GEM
54%
22%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOG
2 - 1
USV
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 2
USV
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
USV
2 - 1
OJC
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ADO
3 - 1
USV
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |