Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
14º
18º
14º
38
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
HUI
1 - 2
EXC
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 1
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 2
BAR
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KON
3 - 0
EXC
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
EXC
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
HHC
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 3
SPA
56%
21%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GVV
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KOZ
3 - 3
SPA
19%
19%
62%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 3
SPA
53%
21%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |