Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GVV
1 - 4
EXC
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 4
UNA
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
VVS
2 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
AFC
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 2
EXC
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
HHC
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 2
TIE
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALK
2 - 3
SPA
71%
17%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
GVV
16%
19%
64%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 3
SPA
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |