Excelsior Maassluis vs OFC Oostzaan analysis


41	ELO	37
-0.2%	Tilt	9.4%
3549º	General ELO ranking	28115º
72º	Country ELO ranking	430º
ELO win probability

46.5%

Excelsior Maassluis

21.9%

Draw

31.6%

OFC Oostzaan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

46.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%

21.9%

Draw

0-0

3%

1-1

9.1%

2-2

6.9%

3-3

2.4%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.9%

31.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

14º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

39

7º

18º

14º

20

13º

18º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

18º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	71	71	1º	100%
2º	69	69	2º	0%
3º	69	69	3º	0%
4º	60	60	4º	0%
5º	60	60	5º	0%
6º	56	56	6º	100%
7º	55	55	7º	100%
8º	45	45	8º	100%
9º	43	43	9º	100%
10º	43	43	10º	0%
11º	43	43	11º	0%
12º	42	42	12º	100%
13º	40	40	13º	100%
14º	39	39	14º	100%
15º	39	39	15º	100%
16º	33	33	16º	100%
17º	26	26	17º	100%
18º	20	20	18º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Champion	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	0%
Relegation play-offs	0%	0%
Relegation	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior Maassluis

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 May. 2023	KON 2 - 1 EXC 65% 21% 15%	40	50	10	0
22 Apr. 2023	EXC 0 - 2 QUI 18% 22% 61%	41	52	11	-1
15 Apr. 2023	KAT 6 - 2 EXC 72% 18% 10%	41	58	17	0
08 Apr. 2023	EXC 3 - 4 SCH 32% 27% 42%	42	48	6	-1
01 Apr. 2023	HHC 3 - 0 EXC 71% 18% 11%	43	53	10	-1

Matches

OFC Oostzaan

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 May. 2023	QUI 2 - 0 OOS 75% 16% 9%	39	52	13	0
22 Apr. 2023	OOS 1 - 1 SCH 30% 25% 45%	38	47	9	+1
15 Apr. 2023	NOO 3 - 0 OOS 60% 21% 20%	39	44	5	-1
08 Apr. 2023	OOS 3 - 1 VOL 54% 20% 26%	38	34	4	+1
01 Apr. 2023	SPA 1 - 1 OOS 71% 18% 12%	37	50	13	+1