Excelsior Maassluis vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
RIJ
2 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 1
HHC
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
EXC
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 0
KAT
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 1
DED
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LIE
0 - 3
GVV
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TIE
3 - 1
LIE
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LIE
4 - 0
VVS
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 1
LIE
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
DET
2 - 2
LIE
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |