Excelsior Maassluis vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 4
TIE
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
ALK
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HHC
0 - 3
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LIE
1 - 1
HHC
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
KAT
4 - 0
LIE
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LIE
2 - 1
UNA
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 3
LIE
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIE
3 - 0
SPA
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |