Excelsior Maassluis vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
14º
18º
14º
47
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 0
EXC
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 1
GVV
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 1
NOO
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
QUI
4 - 2
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HHC
2 - 3
DET
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HHC
2 - 0
VOL
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GVV
2 - 1
HHC
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HHC
0 - 0
ALM
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NOO
1 - 3
HHC
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |