Excelsior Maassluis vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
KAT
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALK
3 - 2
EXC
15%
23%
62%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
GVV
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UNA
2 - 1
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
HER
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HER
0 - 1
FEY
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |